The dreaded Rain Shadow. This post will be real brief. I’m not liking the new QPF trends from the numerical models for Dodge City and the rest of western Kansas. I attached one image on this post, a 36-hour total precipitation graphic from the NAM model ending 12z (6am) Sunday Dec 2. We will be completely rain-shadowed from the Pacific moisture, which always happens, given the geography. The gulf trajectories and the shape of the low level jet do not favor significant precipitation in western Kansas. Typically, you want to be on the north side of the low level jet, where convergence occurs, to get appreciable precipitation. This will be way northeast of Southwest Kansas. I’ll be surprised if there is even .25" of precipitation over any portion of the western 1/3 of Kansas. There’s nothing on the radar yet, except for in New Mexico as of 930pm CST.
So does this mean I’ll be getting the shit up in Olathe?
Comment by Jay — November 30, 2007 @ 11:13 pm
if freezing rain = shit, then No. Olathe is just getting rain as I speak since it’s like 36°, and it’s gonna keep going up. The ice storm will be up in Iowa.
Comment by Mike U — December 1, 2007 @ 5:38 am
That’s good for getting around town, but it also means I can’t get my fix of Katie “The Sky is Falling” Horner interrupting my shows…
Comment by Jay — December 1, 2007 @ 10:24 am
LOL, So true… I guess if there’s one I don’t miss about being out here it would have to be that
Looks like Des Moines is getting slaughtered with ice right now, be happy you all missed this one!
Comment by Mike U — December 1, 2007 @ 10:28 am