(18 March 2012)
* *  Mike Umscheid PHOTOGRAPHY & STORM CHASE BLOG   * *


About This Shoot
Date: 18 March 2012
Location: Southwest Kansas from Garden City to Dighton, KS
Shoot Type: Storm Chase
Rating:
Description: Early Season Small LP Supercell
Synopsis:
Intercepted and photographed a fast-moving, small LP Supercell. The storm didn't produce any significant severe weather given its size, but it certainly had fairly decent rotation in the high-shear environment. I intercepted this storm just northeast of Garden City and followed it north along county roads through the panhandle of Finney County into southwestern Lane County before letting it go near Dighton.

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Preliminary Storm Reports from 18 March 2012


1630 UTC SPC Products from 18 March 2012


Categorical Convective Outlook

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Evening Meteorological Charts from 18 March 2012


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18 March 2012


Sun, 18 Mar 2012 20:31:52 -0500
chase recap.. heading home

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 19:24:58 -0500
LP rotation! Near dighton ks
  
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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 18:50:46 -0500
645 pm LP storm in the strong shear Finney Co KS
  
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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 18:14:37 -0500
update 610pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 18:04:42 -0500
Splitting cell south of garden city at 6pm
  
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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 17:53:34 -0500
update 550pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 17:49:57 -0500
update 550pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 17:27:04 -0500
chase update 515 pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 17:20:10 -0500
chase update 515 pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 16:25:45 -0500
update 420pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 15:20:50 -0500
chase update 315pm

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Sun, 18 Mar 2012 13:12:05 -0500
departing around 130pm for the Sublette, KS area. Storm initiation likely around Guymon/Liberal or points just west around 4-5pm or so.

Sun, 18 Mar 2012 10:08:46 -0500
Storm chase target 3/18: Eastern OK Panhandle into SW Kansas
Not much has changed in my storm chase target decision. Now that the
short term higher resolution models are within range of the event,
confidence is increasing regarding the target forecast. It looks like a
very broad area of supercell chasing prospects today all the way from
west-central KS south-southeastward all the way down into West Texas
(perhaps down to Midland, TX). My target is Liberal to Garden City, KS
simply by virtue of my starting point: Dodge City. This could be a
so-called "gentlemans" chase or "backyard" chase... just driving
southtwest about a half hour with supercells very near Dodge City by
sunset. This is quite possible and in fact seems quite likely,
therefore I will be making this my number one target area of choice.
Show in the image on this post is the 13z RUC model valid 00z showing
the model generated convection (in black) along the dryline with
surface-based CAPE of 2000-2500 J/kg in the warm, moist sector ahead of
the dryline extending up to Garden City-Dodge City.
  
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Sat, 17 Mar 2012 18:31:53 -0500
Likely chase day Sunday 3/18. Target: Eastern TX Panhandle to Southwest KS
Sunday is the last day of my three day weekend, and since I have this
day off (barring an overtime request from work), I will make a chase day
out of it. There is quite a bit chatter amongs the facebook chasing
community regarding a more specific target of the Childress-Shamrock, TX
area... and justifiably so. The CAPE/Shear combination looks fantastic,
especially for mid/late March as some of the initial jet streak energy
begins to impinge on the high plains by early Sunday evening. The
corridor of good looking parameters for supercells will extend northward
into Southwest Kansas, and since this is obviously a much closer
potential target to chase, I will strongly favor a more north bias. On
paper, the parameters for tornadoes look a bit better farther south,
simply because 58-61F dewpoints will probably be closer to initiation
versus in southwest KS where immediate supercell inflow moisture may
have dewpoints of, say 55 to 58F. There will likely be a lot of storm
chasers out Sunday given the first classic looking chase event of the
season for the Great Plains.. which is another reason why I, personally,
am favoring a secondary target of opportunity to chase (OK Panhandle
into Southwest KS vs. Childress/Shamrock, TX area).
  
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