Sat, 17 Mar 2012 18:31:53 -0500
Likely chase day Sunday 3/18. Target: Eastern TX Panhandle to Southwest KS | Sunday is the last day of my three day weekend, and since I have this
day off (barring an overtime request from work), I will make a chase day
out of it. There is quite a bit chatter amongs the facebook chasing
community regarding a more specific target of the Childress-Shamrock, TX
area... and justifiably so. The CAPE/Shear combination looks fantastic,
especially for mid/late March as some of the initial jet streak energy
begins to impinge on the high plains by early Sunday evening. The
corridor of good looking parameters for supercells will extend northward
into Southwest Kansas, and since this is obviously a much closer
potential target to chase, I will strongly favor a more north bias. On
paper, the parameters for tornadoes look a bit better farther south,
simply because 58-61F dewpoints will probably be closer to initiation
versus in southwest KS where immediate supercell inflow moisture may
have dewpoints of, say 55 to 58F. There will likely be a lot of storm
chasers out Sunday given the first classic looking chase event of the
season for the Great Plains.. which is another reason why I, personally,
am favoring a secondary target of opportunity to chase (OK Panhandle
into Southwest KS vs. Childress/Shamrock, TX area).
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