High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

April 11, 2007

Western Kansas Spring Snowstorm April 13 [1]

Filed under: General Weather & Forecasting — Mike U @ 11:40 am

One last snow "hurrah" is on the way for western Kansas.  A significant Southwest Low will develop over New Mexico tomorrow (Thursday) and will mature just to the southwest and south of western Kansas.  A cold Canadian surface high will be in place to the north to provide cold enough air for snow.  As it stands now… an compromise of all the model solutions would suggest heavy, wet snow accumulating to 6 to 12" over far west-central and northwest Kansas.  It is possible that the track of heaviest "wrap-around" precipitation will go over the Garden City-Dodge City corridor, with a large percentage of this precipitation being in the form of snow.  We may see significant accumulating snow in Dodge City if the Canadian and ECMWF models are close… and usually they are accurate models in the 60-72 hour time frame.  The two graphics below show the 12-hour precipitation ending Friday evening (the 13th) and 500mb Low placement Friday evening: 


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