Fri, 12 Oct 2012 01:00:10 -0500
Storm chase status is GO for tomorrow Oct. 12 target Clovis, NM to Hereford, TX | | I will be departing Dodge City early in the morning, sometime between 6
and 7am, for a destination southwest of Amarillo... perhaps as far
southwest as Clovis, NM for what continues to look like a fairly
impressive severe weather and potentially tornadic setup across West
Texas and/or the Texas Panhandle. The place to be tomorrow is just south
of the stationary front which will become warm frontogenetic late in the
day. Storms will likely form near or just west of the TX-NM border
around the Clovis area and move northeast into the Texas Panhandle
toward the advancing warm front where low level shear will be enhanced.
Fig. 1 shows the latest GFS model solution of the 500mb pattern valid
tomorrow afternoon at 21z (4pm CDT). Fig. 2 shows the latest surface
forecast from the RAP 04z model run valid 22z tomorrow (5pm CDT). I
outlined in blue my target area. I want to be in my target region by
early afternoon in order to give me flexibility for repositioning should
I need to do so.
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#1 | 
#2 |
(click on thumbnails for pop-up of larger images) |
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