About This Shoot
Date: 8 May 2011
Location: Southwest Nebraska south of Ogallala, NE
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|Mon, 9 May 2011 02:11:07 +0000|
We did a great job of confirming...
|...that both southeastern and southwestern NE were very poor plays today. H|
eading to Kearney tonight to position ourselves for a drive to the north an
d west tomorrow.
|Sun, 8 May 2011 19:21:30 -0500|
Bust!! Heading to North Platte for the night...
|Well... this sucks. Moisture mixed out, much like expected, actually,|
but even more so than the models suggested (well, except for the HRRR,
as it really mixed moisture out over western/central Nebraska). The
best convergence is just too far west where dewpoints are in the
20s... so deep convection can't get started... it's just flat looking
cumulus that glaciates about 15,000 feet. Anyway, maybe some
lightning photography after dark up north, perhaps, but this one is a
bust... tomorrow still looks decent with much better forcing for
ascent at the nose of the incoming upper level jet streak up into the
northern Nebraska Panhandle and southwestern South Dakota.
|Sun, 8 May 2011 16:53:49 -0500|
chase update 450pm
|I'm sitting near the Nebraska-Kansas border watching really high-based|
cumulus with some ever slight verticality to my south and also to the
west-northwest. I think I'll sit here along Hwy 83 near Cedar Bluffs
KS and watch both of these areas. It's really dry right where these
cu are developing in the greatest convergence... the hope is that by 6
or 7pm, east-southeasterly flow will help bring some higher dewpoints
back in this area, but the hot, highly-mixed airmass is reducing
near-surface based CAPE substantially right where these cumulus are
developing. It's a wait and see game like it usually is...
|Sun, 08 May 2011 16:27:43 -0500|
chase up date 422 pm