Well I knew what I was getting myself into. Moisture at the surface
has mixed out... down into the 46-49 degree range as temperatures
approach 100 degrees. I just hope there are some updraft structures
with these storms before it all becomes one big downburst-fest toward
mid-evening. I foresee a repeat of last night with dry (or psuedo
dry) microbursts all over the place. Objectives are mainly lightning,
storm-in-landscape, and taking advantage of golden hour light for
landscape scenes with dramatic sky (crossing fingers on that one).
Will probably be following whatever develops toward Dodge City area by
late evening.
Western Nebraska has my interest. Morning surface analysis shows the
remnant outflow boundary (OFB) from last night's MCS across Kansas.
The OFB extended from near Hays northwest to Hoxie and into far
southwest Nebraska. North of this, winds were out of the southeast...
but south of it... winds were out of the south with dewpoints in the
mid 50s. It remains to be seen how this will evolve through the day,
but there are indications from the NAM, RUC, and HRRR that a surface
low will form over far northeastern Colorado which will allow winds to
back in an area along I-80 from Ogallala up to Alliance. Enhanced
convergence/frontogenesis in this area may lead to initiation of
storms... but it will be late. I'm okay with that. My plan is to go
ahead and chase this one... I am tentatively planning on departing
around 10am for an area between Imperial to Ogallala... and perhaps
points north from there into the sand hills.
This was east-souteast of Syracuse, KS by about 7 miles or so.. There
have been sustained 40mph winds here with gusts to 60 as that severe
storm decayed and is microbursting all over the place. Blowing dust
visby to less than 1/2 mile at times. Wow. I only hope my images
came out good of the double rainbow at sunset. That was spectacular.
