High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

June 13, 2009

Wow!! 840pm near richfield

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 8:41 pm

(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

Wow!!

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 8:37 pm

Amazing bell shaped supercell structure in Morton County Ks!! Unfortunately it cost me a windshield 6 W of 3
Richfield. Whew!!
(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

repositioning

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 5:46 pm

We are driving ahead of the supercell and repositioning to try to get south. Our best south option is the road south to black mesa state park. Kind of frustrating the road network and battling renewed development on the forward flank
(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

Storm organizing N of Trinidad. 240pm MDT

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 3:40 pm

(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

Afternoon update 6/13 chase

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 3:13 pm

We are traveling southwest toward Trinidad, CO toward storms
developing against the mountains north and northwest of Trinidad. The
road network will probably not be very kind to us today, so we are
hoping for a little bit of luck in that department. The instability
and shear is excellent today in this area for supercells (even
long-lived tornadic perhaps). Once we get to Trinidad we will
probably have a decent storm to chase. Internet connectivity may be
limited given the sparse population east of Trinidad, so be prepared
for long periods of no updates perhaps.


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

Day 3, June 13th chase forecast

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 10:54 am

Looking at forecast upper level winds/heights, current surface
obs/winds and expected pressure falls across central New Mexico… I’m
seeing visions of Trinidad 2001 running through my mind (A day where I
saw my westernmost, highest elevation tornado). High Theta-E will get
pulled back northwestward into the Raton Mesa region. This looks like
an excellent Raton/Trinidad initiation day with storm motions taking
development into Las Animas County or something like that. We may head
southwest from Lamar… perhaps as far southwest as the I-25 corridor.
I think (and hope) the NAM is holding on to the stratus too long today
in southeast CO, hence the surface T and CAPE minimum there… but all
the forcing signals are fantastic for an area downstream of Raton Mesa
into southeast CO.


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

Day 2 (June 12): Eastern Colorado “Palmer Divide” Supercell

Filed under: Chase Accounts,Chase Trip 2009,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 8:27 am

June 12th yielded far better results than the previous day.  Evan, Jay, and I started the day off with a hearty breakfast at the Big Texan steak ranch in Amarillo.  We were initially torn between two targets:  1) Western Oklahoma along a decent looking outflow boundary where CAPE would be much higher or 2) upslope across eastern Colorado.  Each had their pros and cons, but in the end we chose the eastern Colorado target, which was a wise choice.  Given the dearth of upper level forcing, it seemed the only reliable way to force convection would be due to elevated heating.  Primary elevated heating sources for High Plains severe storms initiation are 1) Raton Mesa along the CO-NM border 2) Palmer Divide that extends east from Palmer Lake/Monument, CO north of Colorado springs, and 3) Cheyenne Ridge which extends east along the WY-CO border from Cheyenne.  The anticipated late afternoon wind field and moisture situation at the surface suggested to us that the best of these 3 would be the Palmer Divide.  It was encouraging to see the 12z NAM and GFS both force convection in this area.  Our target from Amarillo, TX was Kit Carson, CO.

It didn’t take long for storms to initate along the Hwy 24 corridor southwest of Limon, which is the classic initation point for Palmer Divide storms.  We drove to Hugo, CO where we refueled and on our way.  Our target storm started getting better organized west of Hugo on our approach to Hwy 71.  From there we followed the high-based supercell southeast following Hwy 94 to Wild Horse.  At one of our stopping points along Hwy 94, we ran into a huge conglomeration of small gnats.  We think a small mesoscale boundary/wind shift brought these bugs in, because they just hit us without warning.  They were everywhere inside the Jeep, so it took the remainder of the chase to try and get rid of all these distracting gnats!  Anyway, the storm was largely outflow dominant as we followed it south and east from Aroya to Eads.  At one point, the structure of the supercell revealed a nice barrel shape to it.  Once we reached Eads, we actually drove south about 7 miles or so to try and get well south of the storm to see if we could observe more interesting cumulonimbus structure from afar.  Unfortunately, this didn’t work out so well so we drove back north to Eads then continued east on Hwy 96 toward Sheridan Lake.  The supercell had a rather steady-state outflow dominant structure its whole life, but it was pretty.  It was a challenge to shoot the storm against a very luminous backdrop.  Contrasts were harsh quite often, so I tried to shoot more structure looking north or north-northwest where there wasn’t an 8-stop luminosity difference between the dark storm and the really bright backdrop behind the storm.  We followed the storm on some farm roads southeast of Sheridan Lake until it got too dark and the storm was slowly weakening.  One last photography shoot location was along Hwy 50 where we finally got a good glimpse of the cumulonimbus top from a distance.  Occasional cloud-to-ground lightning illuminated some structure — even a lowering — as the storm moved away from us into Hamilton County, KS.

June 12, 2009

Fun chase of long-lived supercell off the Palmer Divide

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 10:06 pm

The chase has ended, but we successfully chased and photographed a
persistent long lived supercell that formed southwest of Limon and
tracked to the Kansas border into northwest Hamilton County, KS. We
are heading to Lamar, CO for the night. Images to be uploaded early
tomorrow morning!


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

Outflow dominant storm NE of Eads CO at 715pm MDT

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 8:16 pm

(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

Supercell structure at 6pm MDT

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 6:59 pm

(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

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