The “haves” and the “have nots” — The storm is coming out across the Rockies in pieces — not good for heavy snow in Dodge City. My updated thinking is 1-3″ in Dodge City for this event. We’ve started to get some very light snow here at my house just north of town, but only a dusting of accumulation so far. The expected cyclogenesis from the surface to about 700mb just isn’t going to take shape like earlier expected, and as such, only periods of light (maybe moderate at times) snow will occur through Monday. Since the storm will not be as developed for southwest Kansas, the winds behind the low will not be as strong, so the blowing and drifting component will also likely be less than I previously thought. Unless radar echoes blossom in the area highlighted in Figure 2 (associated with the “x” near the Colorado-Utah border as shown in Figure 1) through the night, then this just isn’t going to happen for most of Southwest Kansas along and south of Highway 50. The Hays and Wakeeney areas have already seen an inch or two of snow with the first little mesoscale wave while we were left high and dry in Dodge for the most part. Yet another “blah” event it would appear.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Meanwhile, the real excitement isn’t even occurring across the Central Plains, but in the Southeast. A major ice and snow storm is underway across much of the Gulf Coast/Southeast region (except for near the coast where it’s warm enough for all rain):
Figure 3
Figure 4
