High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

December 7, 2009

Winter Storm Central Plains — December 8, 2009

Filed under: General Weather & Forecasting,chase mode updates — Mike U @ 3:58 pm

Interesting storm shaping up for the Great Plains…impacting much of Kansas, particularly along and north of I-70 late tonight and Tuesday (December 8th).  I wasn’t going to blog about this storm because it didn’t appear as if it would impact southwest Kansas much… including here in Dodge City… but trends are just a bit farther south with the lower tropospheric response and precipitation.  The arctic air protruded farther south down the western Plains than any of the models suggested.  See the map below, which is a surface chart valid this afternoon at 2:00pm:

20091207-41

The surface winds in the arctic air will try to veer around in response to cyclogenesis in the Rockies, but it is difficult.  Each model run has trended just a bit farther south with the track of the surface low in time…taking it now into the TX Panhandle then into north-central Oklahoma…which would place heavy snow track from roughly Ness City to Hays to Salina and points northeast from there.  Any farther south and it would put Dodge City in the heavy snow track…but as it stands now, Dodge City will be on the southern periphery of this storm.  Below is the Snowfall run-total accumulations from the 12z model runs of the GFS and the NAM (from Earl Barker’s site):

20091207-1

Below is the Canadian GEM model valid 6pm CST Tuesday 12/8/09:

20091207-2

I am expecting 2-4″ here in Dodge City, mainly falling between midnight tonight and noon Tuesday 12/8.  That said, we will be near or within the gradient in snowfall… so we may get a lot more than that… or not much at all — the higher confidence in heavy snow is going to be up along I-70… as it has been looking pretty much all along.  We shall see!  With the colder airmass than anticipated, things may wind up being farther south!  I’ll be at the house watching it unfold tonight and tomorrow before going into work at 4pm Tuesday.

Mike U

December 1, 2009

UTM Photo of the Month — December 2009

Filed under: Uncategorized — Mike U @ 8:16 pm

December 2009

Cold as ice!

Following one of the most historic western Kansas ice storms in late December 2006, the landscape turned a majestically sculpted ice-scape, including this small tree branch. At Dodge City, around an inch of freezing rain accumulated on a myriad of exposed surfaces. Details of this image: Nikon D200 body, 40mm focal length (60mm virtual focal length), 1/1000s @ f/13, ISO 400. Taken December 31, 2006 at 12:50pm CST at the Dodge City, KS National Weather Service Office.

November 8, 2009

Quivira NWR & Cheyenne Bottoms Wildlife Shoot: November 7, 2009

Filed under: Photography — Mike U @ 11:51 pm

I met up with wildlife photographer Jim Glynn of Great Bend to photograph around Quivira National Wildlife Refuge and the Cheyenne Bottoms area the morning of November 7th.  My main motivation for this particular trip was to hopefully observe and photograph the endangered Whooping Crane, for I have never seen one before in the wild.  For those who don’t know, the Whooping Crane uses Cheyenne Bottoms and the Quivira NWR as a stopover on the way south to the Aransas NWR along the Texas gulf coast where they winter.  What is known as the “Wood Buffalo-Aransas” flock, this is the only wild, relatively self-sustaining flock of Whooping Crane with a flock population of only about 250 birds.  Their flight migration from the Aransas NWR to Wood Buffalo National Park in Canada takes them directly over Central Kansas during the spring and autumn.  Usually their stopover in the autumn is longer, but this depends largely on the weather.  Upon reports of over a dozen Whoopers at Quivira late last week, I decided I needed to take a visit to take advantage of an opportunity to photograph a Whooper.

I arrived shortly before sunrise Saturday morning and met up with Jim on the east-west sand road that cuts through the north part of QNWR just north of the Big Salt Marsh.  Around sunrise, we observed a pair of Whooping Cranes right away north of the east-west road (NE 170th Ave.) which Wildlife Drive connects to.  These two Whoopers were mixed in with a bunch of other Sandhill Cranes as well as some White-fronted Geese.  We got information of more Whoopers on the other side of QNWR about 9 miles south, so we took a leisurely drive south…stopping occasionally to photograph some white tail does and a couple bucks.   On the south side of the Little Salt Marsh, we spotted another pair of Whoopers (for a total of 4) all alone which we photographed from the observation tower that stands on the south side of the marsh.  The 80-400mm Nikon lens is only just enough length to positively identify the Whoopers, but that’s about it.  I really  need more length for much better images!!!

Afterwards, we drove back to the north side of the refuge to get my Jeep and we then headed up to Cheyenne to see if any Whoopers were up there.  We visited the new Kansas Wetlands Education Center (Ft. Hays St. Univ.) along Hwy 156 across from the Bottoms then drove around the Bottoms.  Unfortunately, the Whoopers that were there earlier in the morning took flight to the south, so we had just missed them apparently.  There wasn’t a whole lot of activity at the Bottoms other than a number of red-tailed hawk in-flight photos as well as a couple of Great Blue Herons.  I managed to get a couple keeper images of GBH take-off as well as hawk take-off.  All in all, this was a fun shoot, and I finally photographed my first Whooping Cranes — even if they were at a distance!  Thanks to Jim Glynn for the shooting company!  Below are some images from the shoot:


Two Whooping Cranes, one of which displaying, amongst a large group of Sandhill Cranes

The other Whooping Crane was now briefly displaying


A number of Sandhill Cranes in flight.  A pair of Whooping Cranes visible as well, just north of Wildlife Drive at QNWR.


Sandhill Cranes in flight with a number of Snow Geese also mixed in.


This is the second pair of Whooping Cranes we observed this morning (for a total of 4).  These two were all by themselves with no other cranes around.  This was looking due west from the observation tower that overlooks the Little Salt Marsh at QNWR.


A beautiful American Kestrel perched high atop a powerline at QNWR.


Great Blue Heron lifting off at Cheyenne Bottoms


A Red-tailed Hawk taking off from its post at Cheyenne Bottoms.


Close-up image of a Red-tailed Hawk in flight at Cheyenne Bottoms.

October 11, 2009

UTM Photo of the Month: October 2009

Filed under: Photography,UTM Updates — Mike U @ 5:20 pm

October 2009

Freshly fallen snow atop fall foliage

In the spirit of Autumn and the unusually cool and wintry October being experienced across the Rockies and adjacent Great Plains, I decided to pull an image out of the Mike Umscheid Photography vault from 4 years ago. I documented a rare, very early season snowstorm across the Front Range of the Rockies on October 10, 2005. This storm produced very heavy, wet snow accumulating 10 to 25″ around the Palmer Divide area. The storm caused fairly substantial tree damage and power outages, but some beauty also came out of it as well with fresh snow cover atop leaves in full color. Details of this image: Nikon D70 body, 31mm focal length (47mm virtual focal length), 1/800s @ f/8.0, ISO 400. Taken October 10, 2005 at 10:34am MDT in Castle Rock, Colorado

September 18, 2009

UTM Photo of the Month: September 2009

Filed under: Photography,UTM Updates — Mike U @ 1:23 pm

Updated the UTM Photo of the month… or half-month!

September 2009

Distant Colorado hailstorm among a field full of wild sunflowers

Colorful Colorado certainly lived up to that moniker on this mid-August afternoon south of the Pawnee National Grassland as a small, non-severe hailstorm rolled northeast through the plains. To capture this image, I had to tromp through these waist-high sunflowers as they seemingly went on forever in this prairie landscape. What a view! Details of this image: Nikon D3 body, 14mm focal length, 1/5000s @ f/5.6, ISO 200. Taken August 16, 2009 at 5:38pm MDT near Masters, Colorado

August 24, 2009

Chase Acct: August 16, 2009 (Northeast CO)

Filed under: Chase Accounts,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 3:36 am

…Hailstorm, Rainbow, and a carpet of Sunflowers east of Greeley, CO…

I was very pleased with the outcome of this chase…despite the fact that the storm I followed was less than severe amidst dewpoint temperatures in the mid 40s east of Greeley, CO. This was the final day of a two-day chase, and I decided to make this day a chase day after interrogating model data early that morning. A very “cold” upper air trough for this time of year was still positioned across the northern Rockies with a smaller scale short-wave trough expected to rotate through southern Wyoming by afternoon. This would bring a shot of mid level cold advection with 500mb temps around -14C impinging on the Front Range by late afternoon. In this environment, even a surface parcel of about 77F over 45F dewpoint still yielded enough CAPE for a photogenic storm. You don’t need high CAPE for great storm photography in Colorado, especially with really good deep layer shear present — which was the case this day. I had a target around Limon initially, however I never made it down to the I-70 corridor. I drove southwest toward the Denver metro on I-76 instead.

I figured the best storms would be developing either right along the Front Range or just east. Given the depleted moisture from the prior night’s cold front, the best CAPE in return southeasterly flow would be banked up against the higher terrain. The drive down I-76 was interesting earlier in the day. Wildflowers… mainly wild sunflowers… were rampant. It was a very thick carpet of sunflowers in some of these fields for as far as the eye could see. It was a rather incredible sight — thanks to the wet spring and summer across the region. I drove as far southwest as Hudson, then west to I-25. By this time, a few weak showers dotted the Front Range from my southwest to west-northwest. A small storm was beginning to develop up near Cheyenne, which was quite visible from my location, so I drifted north on I-25 to position myself accordingly to keep this area in play — but I really didn’t want to pursue a storm that far north given the drive back I had to make to Dodge City. I drove as far north on I-25 as Wellington then east to near Nunn. I sat along a farm road between Wellington and Nunn for about an hour or so — becoming increasingly frustrated by how slow things were evolving. The showers off the mountains just weren’t cutting it — turning to garbage “virga bombs” as they rolled east toward me off the mountains.

After awhile, I became impatient, and the time was going past 5:00pm CDT. I was gettng hungry, so I stopped at a fast food joint and grabbed a quick dinner north of Greeley. Sure enough, taking my mind and eyes off the sky for a little bit did the trick! When I came out of the restaurant, there was a storm to my south-southeast…just exiting the northeastern fringes of the Denver metro. This was my target storm and I plotted an intercept southeast of Greeley following Hwy 34. After studying this storm for a bit both visually and on radar, it quickly became evident that this storm was a left-mover — in other words, the updraft region was on the north flank of the storm — and was moving quickly to the northeast. Given this, I needed to get north if I wanted to photograph the updraft region of the storm. I saw a county road on the map near the Riverside Reservoir — and it was a race against the hail core to get there. The northwestern fringes of the core reached me at the same time I reached my north option, so I had to blast north in order to stay ahead of it.

I drove north a good 7 or 8 miles before I get well enough ahead of the core, and by that time, most of the precip core was now going to be east of me as it tracked northeast. I found a spot to photograph the storm from looking east — another incredible field full of wild sunflowers! Incredible! The landscape, the distant hail core of the storm… all this color was just phenomenal. Then a partial rainbow formed, and the scene became even more spectacular! Wow!! I was having a field day tromping through waist-high wild sunflowers shooting this incredible scene. The ~ 15 minutes I spent at this one spot watching this sub-severe storm move away from me amidst this incredible field of yellow was well worth the two-day trip! No doubt about it.

This storm got away from me, but that was okay, there were more developing to pursue. I eventually went after a storm to my southwest, to the south of Keenesburg. I got ahead of this storm, which was the more traditional “right mover”, as the updraft region was on the south side. This storm was also sub-severe, but the updraft area was decently organized…although cloud-to-ground lightning was my main focus with this storm…and I managed to get a few images. I followed this storm until sunset east to Hwy 71 at Woodrow. It was a long drive back to Dodge City, arriving back home about 3:30am or so.

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August 16, 2009

Homeward bound after a successful storm photography evening!

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 9:14 pm

Heading home. It will be a very late arrival to DDC, and I will
likely have to stop at least once for a shut eye. ETA to DDC 3 or
4am, glad I called work to come in at 10am! Will get images uploaded
tomorrow night sometime. Very good stormscapes with rich colors,
contrast, foreground subjects… and CG lightning to cap things off!
Well worth it! Go lower-mid 40s dewpoints!


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

Left moving hail storm

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 6:42 pm


Beautiful colorful colorado with a field full of wild sunflowers!!
(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

Virga! Mountain convection

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 4:44 pm


Looking west from a location about 15 northeast of ftr collins. Must be patient. Still think fairly aggressive developent is likey as the cold advection in thje mid levels increases. Small storm north of cheyenne looks interesting at times visually but that is too far north since I have to drive back to dodge city tonite
(Sent by Mike’s Alltel Blackberry smartphone)

aftn update 8/16

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 2:31 pm

at 1:30pm MDT, I am northeast of Denver along I-76 by about 25 miles.
There’s a bit of a moisture problem out here! I expected a moisture
deficiency, but man, upper 30s to lower 40s dewpoints? LOL. What did
I get myself into. There will still be storms developing and moving
out onto the adjacent plains later on this afternoon/evening, but the
moisture problem is… a problem! The saving grace will be strong
500mb cold advection and vigorous upper support coming out with
another shortwave trough rotating around the base of the longwave
trough. My focus will probably be lightning in this CAPE deficient
environment. I’ll probably loiter around this area for awhile
watching the cumulus percolate over the front range and foothills.


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

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