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High Plains Drifter

disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

May 1, 2010

Chase Trip Day Eight (May 1) Forecast

Filed under: Early Chase Trip 2010 — Mike U @ 10:38 am

More of the same:  Glorified High Plains Rain Showers! Very cold air in the mid levels on the order of -22 to -24C will continue across the central High Plains.  Showers will develop first over the higher elevation of the Raton Mesa then spread east into southeastern Colorado and eventually far Southwest Kansas by early evening.  My trek today will take me to Capulin Volcano first, then following these showers and hopefully some good photographic light back into far southwest Kansas.  Will be overnighting back home in Dodge City tonight.  Sunday continues to look interesting across Kansas, mainly central KS perhaps around Salina, as some residual low level moisture sneaks back northwest beneath the very cold temperatures aloft creating CAPE around 1000 to 1250 J/kg.  The NAM has been persistent in developing a “QPF bomb” during the 00z to 06z time frame, so I think some organized deep moist convection will likely occur… just a matter of where at this point.

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