I am currently located along Lake Oahe west of Gettysburg, SD. A
dangerous convective situation is about to unfold around this area.
SPC mesoanalysis shows 5000 J/kg of surface based CAPE and a couple
hundred joules of 0-1km SRH which computes to an EHI of over 7.
Strong tornadoes are very possible, if not likely, in this environment
if a surface based storm forms in this area… which pretty much all
the models suggest happening. The area along the SD-ND border east of
Mobridge appears especially vulnerable during the evening hours. I
will stay on the east side of the Lake and watch things bubble to my
west… as it appears to be doing as I type. It could be a long
evening.
disclaimer: "The meteorological
views/forecast
thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"
May 22, 2010
chase update may 22 3:35pm cdt
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