High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

March 31, 2006

Tornadoes possible in Southwest Kansas tomorrow

Filed under: General Weather & Forecasting — Mike U @ 11:47 am

Well… it didn’t take long to fully swing into spring… with the March 30th severe weather event in central/eastern KS-NE-OK and what looks to be an ominous looking tornado setup in Southwest Kansas tomorrow, April 1st.

I’ll let the GFS 4-panel model graphic (a 36-hr forecast valid 6pm CST April 1) below do the talking, for those of you who know how to interpret these charts. About as classic a setup as you can ask for in early spring. A negatively tilted upper trough slowly moving into the high plains at the peak-heating of the day. A formidable dryline will shape up from Western KS into the eastern TX Panhandle. Just amazing wind shear at all levels with abundant moisture and a warm front lifting north during the day. I’ll be working this one (not chasing), I can’t wait! I love working these kind of events… it’s why I do what I do :) If there’s significant tornadoes, lets just hope they stay in the open farmland like they’re supposed to out here.

36-hr forecast-GFS model-valid 6p 4/1

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