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High Plains Drifter

disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

January 31, 2011

Central U.S. Winter Storm and Cold Air Outbreak 2011 February 1-2 [6]

Filed under: 2011 Feb 1-2 — Mike U @ 5:09 pm

A trace of snow in Dodge City this afternoon…heavier snow overnight. some low level snow showers developed this afternoon making the ground white in spots, but mainly what little snow has fallen is being blowing around on this afternoon’s 20-30mph north winds (Fig. 1).  Temperatures have fallen into the upper teens, and even colder air is on the way.  Winds will also increase overnight tonight as the low begins to take shape in Texas, along with the arctic high expanding across the northern High Plains.  Winds will increase to 25-35 mph with frequent gusts above 40 mph by early Tuesday morning.  Even if we get 1-2″ of snow, this will cause some problems.  The latest GFS, NAM, and RUC all suggest a 1-3″ snowfall potential for Dodge City.  Figure 2 shows the 19z run of the RUC model valid 10z (4am CST) tomorrow morning as the snow really ramps up across Oklahoma and southern Kansas.  By 13z, the RUC shows about 1.5″ of snow accumulation in DDC.  The HRRR has been showing the same kind of snowfall through that time as well.  Tomorrow morning should prove to be nasty in Dodge City and all of southern KS for that matter.  Figure 3 shows the Dodge City forecast with a high of 6°F tomorrow!  Blizzard warnings have been issued from central/northeastern Oklahoma through much of Missouri and into Illinois (Fig. 4)

Figure 1.

Figure 2.

Figure 3.

Figure 4.

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