High Plains Drifter

disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

March 22, 2007

Chase Forecast March 23-24

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 10:01 pm

Since I have 3 days off this weekend, I have decided to make a chase trip out of it.  It does not look like the best chasing opportunity to ever come, but there’s certainly a chance at picturesque storms where I love to chase — the central H igh Plains.  Friday 3/23, it looks like upslope flow will advect enough low level moisture into northeastern Colorado…along with steep low-mid level lapse rates…to promote a decent chance of chaseable storms…and perhaps a (marginal) supercell.  I’m thinking of an area around Akron, CO for starters tomorrow.  A nearly stationary upper low over the Southwest will lift north-northeast on Saturday 3/24 into eastern Colorado.  At this time, it appears an area from far northeastern CO into far northwestern KS and far southwestern NE (what I like to call the "CONEKS" region) will be the best area for interesting chaseable storms just downstream of the ejecting upper low.  With two days looking good enough for me to get me out the door this early in the season, I am pretty much making a "Go" decision, leaving early tomorrow morning for Northeastern CO and probably staying the night somewhere in Northeastern CO for Saturday’s setup.  A couple charts below from this evening’s NAM model run show my first-guess target regions for Friday (top) and Saturday (bottom):

This will be my first good test at my "virtual chasing" on Underthemeso.com where visitors to the website can keep up with my near-current location out on the Plains.  My main front page at www.underthemeso.com will be directed to a secondary index page made especially for monitoring my storm chase.  I’ll have that setup for both Friday 3/23 and Saturday 3/24. 


1 Comment »

  1. Most Jorge.

    Next time, try actually CHASING in the blue squigly area on the charts instead of going on a 500 mile wild goose chase :)


    Comment by Chiefy — March 25, 2007 @ 8:53 am

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