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High Plains Drifter

disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

September 28, 2007

Storm chase Fri, Sept 28

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 10:42 am

Target: Eastern/Northeastern CO to far western Kansas.   There is a fairly strong subtropical jet streak moving towards the High Plains today.  This morning, there were lower to even mid 60s dewpoints advecting northward from western Oklahoma and the eastern Texas Panhandle.  A dryline will set up this afternoon along the KS-CO border area northward to western Nebraska.  By this evening, widely scattered storms are expected to break out along this dryline.  The question is where to target for the best location on the dryline.  I think I will head up towards the Goodland area and perhaps re-evaluate from there, leaving around noon or so perhaps.  Both the RUC and NAM are breaking out convective precip along the dryline farther south on the edge of the good upper flow, so I will have to watch out for that possibility as well.  I will probably chase Saturday, too, farther north in Nebraska… thus I may stay the night in Colby or McCook or something… it will be a seat-of-the-pants operation, as it usually is with storm chasing :)

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