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High Plains Drifter

disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

October 16, 2005

Enough is Enough!

Filed under: General Weather & Forecasting — Mike U @ 10:00 am

Gimme a break. Get ready for Wilma-mania! The last name in the Atlantic basic alphabet: Wilma. As of the time of this writing, it is still TD#24, but unless the GFS model is completely out to lunch… which it has *not* been this tropical season for the most part… we will be looking at yet another landfalling hurricane on the Gulf Coast of the United States. The 4th Gulf Coast hurricane landfaller of the season. Dennis, Katrina, Rita, and what would appear to be Wilma sometime a week from now. Obviously, a day-7 forecast has many problems, but of all the times the GFS has bombed a sub-980mb tropical system in the gulf it has pretty much verified. Right now, the official track of soon-to-be Wilma from the NHC takes it on a track very similar to Charley last year.

Funny, I had a dream last night about this storm. I don’t remember all the details, but I remember that this storm bombed out into another sub-910mb monster before making landfall in the “armpit” of Florida. After that, I don’t recall what happened in the dream… but this landfall is a best-case scenario in Florida. There’s just not much population on the coast east of Apalachicola.

This will be interesting to watch this week.

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