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High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

July 17, 2008

Chase Forecast — July 17, 2008

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 12:42 am

I will be chasing today, Thursday, July 17th.  It is my two days off between midnight and day shifts which start Saturday.  Obviously, with it being summer, the wind shear setup is less than ideal for long-lived supercell thunderstorms, but the thing today has going for it is a lot of moisture.  As I type, much of western Kansas is soaking in 65-67 degree dewpoints, with a 66 dewpoint at Imperial, NE.  Coincidentally enough, Imperial, NE is my target.  All the models generate quite a bit of convective precipitation, so I am giving today about a 60-75% chance of observing and photographing a severe thunderstorm of some sort in the target area of Southwest Nebraska and adjacent far Northeast Colorado.  Since I am fresh off midnight shifts, my sleeping pattern is F*d up.  My day has essentially begun at 1:30am.  I plan to do some moonlit landscape photography at the Monument Rocks north of Scott City before heading north toward the chase target.  I’ll probably get there late morning which will allow me to grab a midday power-nap of sorts before storms start developing.  

2 Comments »

  1. Sleep fast, buddy! Hope you did well as it looked like there was plenty to do up there today… assuming you turned around and didn’t drown… much of the same tomorrow with a better chance along the front range. Models show a Denver Cyclone in play, so perhaps you’ll drift out this way. Pulse-type storms, I would imagine, but you may get a surprise if you’re in the right place early enough. Be safe!

    Comment by Tony Laubach — July 18, 2008 @ 12:29 am

  2. Was up from 1:30am thursday to just after midnight thursday night… dead beat tired, I haven’t even gotten to my photos yet today. A lot of storms around Southwest KS today, but nothing chaseable really… lotso garbage. Yesterday, I photographed a number of rainfoots and interesting outflow structure. A nasty looking wall cloud formed at the convergence of two cells north of Colby, but of course it didn’t last long…although it was quite photogenic for a time. Lots of gustnadoes, too. I’ll post an account with pics later tonight probably. -Mike

    Comment by Mike U — July 18, 2008 @ 6:08 pm

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