High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

March 22, 2009

Chase Forecast — March 23, 2009

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 11:20 pm

Tomorrow is a chase day if I can get off work early.  I am scheduled an "easy to get off" supernumerary day shift, and since I’m not working a forecasting shift + the fact that severe should avoid the Dodge City forecast area, I can probably take a half day off, leave at noon, and head east toward Wichita.  I do plan to "join the masses" and play the conventional obvious target from Wichita, KS to the Oklahoma border.  This does appear to be the best play — along the dryline and ahead of the cold front which will be moving rapidly southeast through central KS by late afternoon/early evening.  Surface winds should back to about 170 or 180 degrees by late afternoon, increasing surface convergence along dryline.  I like to play the thermal noses along and immediately west of the dryline…and this also appears to be setting up along the KS-OK border by late afternoon somewhere between Medicine Lodge and Harper, KS.  My target is somewhere between Kingman and Harper at this point (see black circle in image below).  I will have Underthemeso.com in "chase mode" by early afternoon if I do indeed get off work early.  That final decision will be made in the morning while at work.  At this point I’m about 80% sure I’ll get off and be able to chase.

1 Comment »

  1. Hi Mike,

    Enjoyed following you on the Internet today. Sounds like a fairly decent chase result for such an early set-up. It was interesting to see you dash east and an ENTIRE CONVOY of chasers seemed to be following you! On a side note, I followed the entire Greensburg event “live” on the world wide web and your work at NWS in Dodge City was outstanding. No doubt you saved a lot of lives that night. I just found your site here and didn’t want to miss the chance to comment on your excellent work.

    Rick Stockton
    former EHS Manager @ Via Christi Regional Med. Cntr.
    Wichita, KS

    Comment by Rick Stockton — March 23, 2009 @ 5:11 pm

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