As I type, we are 30 miles south of Oakley, KS with a target of
northeastern Colorado in mind. Earlier this morning, we were thinking
Southwest KS into the OK Panhandle, however, we have decided to
re-target farther north and west given all the mid level cloud cover
with the upper wave across AZ and NM moving out fairly quickly. We
are now playing for upslope/elevated heating generated storms across
northeastern CO. The NAM and RUC suggest fairly aggressive convective
development late this aftn and evening across this area… and upper
tropospheric winds are actually a bit strong across eastern CO
(albeit, mid level winds just a shade lower, but still adequate for
supercells). There is good insolation across the target area with
morning stratus burning off. So we will head to Burlington, CO and
re-evaluate from there… however by that time, we may have a target
storm to chase to our west or northwest. More later.
–
Mike Umscheid Photography
http://gallery.underthemeso.com
mesomike@gmail.com