High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

March 3, 2006

1st chase of 2006 tomorrow?

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 10:03 pm

It seems like every other year or so, there’s a marginal opportunity to get out and chase…
850mb Theta-E fcst for March 4

to more or less test out the new equipment for the new chase season…and just get out and observe a convective sky after a long boring winter. Especially this winter…a winter that has been so bone dry, but really not all that cold. Low level moisture will be advecting northward overnight tonight through west TX, getting into W KS tomorrow.

It’s not much moisture, granted…
as it’s early March, but with cold temps aloft this time of year, it doesn’t take much to get some potential instability… the NAM shows CAPE’s of 700 to near 1000 J/kg by late afternoon Saturday 4th with some modest dryline convergence from Liberal to Scott City. So, I’ll watch this closely tomorrow morning and get the camera gear in “standby” mode just in case. I work midnight shift tomorrow evening, so I do have about a 3 hour leash.

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