High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

May 27, 2006

Chase Trip 2006: Day 5 Chase Forecast

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Chase Trip 2006,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 11:50 am

Stacie’s driving so I get to browse the internet here as we are driving on I-94 towards BIS. We left DIK about 40 mins ago… looks like we are driving into the warm sector now. Nice low strato-cu poleward of the front, indicative of the adequate moisture in place. With strong cyclogenesis over WY today, I think our front will be undergoing slight frontolysis, but not enough to prevent the adequate convergence for initiation just west to northwest to north of BIS. Will hang in Manden probably. I hope the storms can move northeast of the Missouri RIver early enough. Upper winds are lacking, but good directional shear from BL to 6km… thank goodness for that. I expect HP end of things today with the weak mid-upper winds.

Just got off the phone with Jon… Rob, Mitch, and Jon are now at Fargo, ND and are about to head west towards Bismarck. So they are now on track to meeting up with us around or just before initiation time.

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