Looking at forecast upper level winds/heights, current surface
obs/winds and expected pressure falls across central New Mexico… I’m
seeing visions of Trinidad 2001 running through my mind (A day where I
saw my westernmost, highest elevation tornado). High Theta-E will get
pulled back northwestward into the Raton Mesa region. This looks like
an excellent Raton/Trinidad initiation day with storm motions taking
development into Las Animas County or something like that. We may head
southwest from Lamar… perhaps as far southwest as the I-25 corridor.
I think (and hope) the NAM is holding on to the stratus too long today
in southeast CO, hence the surface T and CAPE minimum there… but all
the forcing signals are fantastic for an area downstream of Raton Mesa
into southeast CO.
–
Mike Umscheid Photography
http://gallery.underthemeso.com
mesomike@gmail.com
Hey Mike,
Nice forecast, I love the Raton area, its so photogenic and you get the nice moisture with out shooting through a fish bowl. HAHA Myself and Dann Cianca will be heading up to WY to play the better air since Pueblo and Trinidad will be capped or at least the models hold off on the precip till late evening. Good Luck today and I cant wait to see the shots!
MC.
Comment by Michael Carlson — June 13, 2009 @ 11:26 am