High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

July 9, 2009

in vicinity of strongest convergence and heat axis… but oh that cap

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 5:32 pm

There is a northeast to southwest oriented fine line evident on
Hastings radar that extends from just east of Holdrege to east of
Kearney. Both HDE and EAR have either a calm wind or light northeast.
Southeast of this fine line, winds are southeast around 12 to 15
knots…so the convergence axis is here. Cumulus is most clumped in
this area just to my north and northwest of where I am sitting, which
as of 530pm CDT was ~ 4 ESE of Upland in northeastern Franklin County,
NE. I’m going to sit here, as I believe this is the best spot if
anything at all is going to develop at the nose of the mid 90s thermal
ridge. I give it about 10% chance of initiation. At least there’s a
cu field with some bases…but man they are not towering… at least
not now at 5:30pm. I’ll give it about an hour and a half, maybe two
hours max… if nothing forms, I’m heading to McCook for the night
more than likely.


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

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