High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

July 18, 2009

7/18 early aftn update

Filed under: chase mode updates — Mike U @ 1:30 pm

I’m north of Clayton by a few miles at a high spot along Hwy 370
watching a couple areas of cumulus developing to my northwest and
north. I can see a small storm already trying to form over the
mountains to my west… to the southwest of Raton. I’m in a pretty
good area here with 2000-2500 J/kg of surface-based CAPE per SPC
mesoanalysis. Deep layer shear is excellent for supercells. It’s
just a waiting game at this point. No cap bust today, that’s about
99.8% guaranteed — in fact, I could be chasing a storm here in the
next couple hours.


Mike Umscheid Photography

http://gallery.underthemeso.com

mesomike@gmail.com

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