High Plains Drifter


disclaimer:  "The meteorological views/forecast thinking expressed are those solely of the author of this blog
and do not necessarily represent those of official National Weather Service forecast products,
therefore read and enjoy at your own risk and edification!"

June 15, 2010

Chase Trip #2 begins Thursday!

Filed under: Late Chase Trip 2010 — Mike U @ 8:07 pm

I will be departing Dodge City for Kansas City late in the morning Wednesday for my second storm chasing trip of the 2010 season.  I will be chasing with my good friend and fellow NWS forecaster (Pleasant Hill/KC, MO) Evan Bookbinder and will be meeting up with him at his house tomorrow evening.  The forecast pattern looks very good for almost daily storm chasing opportunities as there will be sustained west-southwest or southwest jet stream across the Rockies and into the adjacent western plains.  Day One, Thursday 6/17, a significant mid-latitude cyclone will move rapidly across the northern Dakotas, and our idea is to chase along the advancing dry intrusion/cold front where the front will interact with extreme instability and very high moisture content.  Supercells will be likely with tornadoes a possibility east of the Siouxland area of northwest Iowa and southwest Minnesota.

Beyond Day One. The front will move slowly into the central Plains and weaken as it does so on Day Two (Friday 6/18).  It will be moving south into weaker flow aloft with supercell less likely.  We will decide later whether to chase Friday across northern/northeast Kansas or to just position for Day Three (Saturday 6/19).  Saturday will mark the beginning of a sustained period of chasing across the northern/central High Plains and into Nebraska and the southern Dakotas.  Next week could be quite active!

June 14, 2010

Chase Account 31 May 2010 Pritchett-Campo, CO [Part 2 of 3]

Filed under: Chase Accounts,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 7:58 pm
The long-lived, significant tornadic supercell of 31 May 2010 will go down as probably my most thoroughly and successfully documented significant tornadic supercell in my 13 years of storm chasing.  There were three distinct phases of this storm chase, and as such, I will document this account and share my images in 3 parts.  The first phase (Part 1 of 3) was the time frame from roughly 2:45pm to 4:30pm which included a 20-minute tornado southwest of Pritchett, Colorado.  The second phase was a long period from 4:30pm to about 7:00pm when the supercell was non-tornadic but still cycled through several significant occlusions, one of which was very close to being tornadic (Part 2 of 3).  Lastly, the Campo, Colorado significant tornado, the hallmark moment of this supercell, will be documented in Part 3 along with the post-tornado sunset structure as the storm rolled southeast into the Oklahoma Panhandle northeast of Boise City.

Part 2 of 3. 4:30 to 6:55pm CDT (Non-tornadic phase)

(times CDT unless otherwise noted.  numbers in brackets refer to the image number in the embedded image album at the end of this post)

After the south of Pritchett tornado dissipated, the supercell entered a non-tornadic phase, which lasted from roughly 4:30pm until about 7:00pm.  After photographing the tornado, I drove east about a mile and a half then south two miles photographing the storm structure at various points along the way through 4:50pm.  The storm appeared to be taking on a high-precipitation supercell structure with a large mass of precipitation descending from near the main updraft area looking off to the west [1,2,3,4].  I was expecting the storm to approach my location… but it simply wasn’t doing so.  It was moving straight south.  So instead of just sitting there waiting for the storm to approach, I decided to head west again and then drift south.  I sat for awhile at a county road intersection as lightning activity was increasing abruptly.  I set up the tripod with the D200 in hopes of capturing a cloud-to-ground (CG) flash with the storm structure to my west northwest.  I didn’t capture any CG’s, so then I went south.  There is one county road that goes into the far western Oklahoma Panhandle to Black Mesa Park, and I was seriously considering taking this road considering the storm motion straight south… so I made my way south and west through 5:15pm, stopping along County Road 13 about 5 miles north of the Oklahoma border.

I photographed some of the high-based storm structure from here [5] and then drifted back to the north to the road intersection with County Road G where I met up with a group of Canadian storm chasers.  We sat here at this road intersection for a good 10 to 15 minutes or so [6,7,8].  It was at this time that the storm appeared to be making more of a southeast track instead of the due south track it had been taking.  The decision now was to head east back to highway 287 at Campo.  I was in no hurry, though, since the storm was still just crawling at around 5 mph.  At around 5:45 to 5:50pm or so, a high-based rear-flank downdraft clear slot was developing to the north [9].  I drove about three miles east or so and stopped to photograph a new wall cloud to my north-northwest.  This wall cloud in the RFD occlusion was classic [10], and I was preparing for another tornado, setting the tripod up with my D200 zoomed in to about 70mm for some up-close images [11,12].  Right at about 6:00pm, a laminar funnel developed within the tightening wall cloud [14,15,16], making up the tornado cyclone scale rotation.

It came very close to producing a tornado here, and it is quite possible there could have been unseen ground-based rotation beneath the laminar funnel.  I could never confirm a tornado, nor did any other chaser that I know of.  About three or four minutes later, this laminar funnel became a little more stretched out and diagonally oriented [19] as it began to dissipate.  The whole wall cloud area then became wrapped up in rain around 6:10pm [20,21], and I continued east toward Campo.  There were quite a few people from town, including local spotters, watching the storm from the west edge of town on County Road J.

At 6:20pm, I reached Hwy 287/385 and headed south from Campo about 3 miles before stopping along another county road adjacent the highway.  I met up with the College of Dupage group at this location and photographed the structure with some wildflowers to the northwest [23,24,25].  I photographed from this location for about 10 or so minutes before continuing on.  At this point, I was quite content with the chase and decided not to get too cocky in positioning.  It was all about finding the right light at this point since the sun was getting lower.  I didn’t want to shoot into the light to the west.  I took a county road (County Road C) east about a mile or so and found a high spot to shoot from.  There was a fairly well-developed high-based “swirl” marking the new mesocyclone to my northwest [26,27,28].  I sat here for about 10 minutes as well watching this feature approach.  Time was about 6:45 to 6:55pm or so.

With the light pretty harsh to the west, I got tired of shooting to the northwest, so I went back west to Highway 287/385 then south about 1/2 of a mile or so before stopping again along the shoulder of the highway.  Again, up to this point, the chase day was going perfectly, and I was very content with what I have seen up to this point.  Little did I know what I was about to photograph from this very location.  Details of this… the so-called “Campo Tornado”… in Part 3!

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June 9, 2010

Chase Account 31 May 2010 Pritchett-Campo, CO [Part 1 of 3]

Filed under: Chase Accounts,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 1:25 pm
The long-lived, significant tornadic supercell of 31 May 2010 will go down as probably my most throroughly and successfully documented significant tornadic supercell in my 13 years of storm chasing.  There were three distinct phases of this storm chase, and as such, I will document this account and share my images in 3 parts.  The first phase (Part 1 of 3) was the time frame from roughly 2:45pm to 4:30pm which included a 20-minute tornado southwest of Pritchett, Colorado.  The second phase was a long period from 4:30pm to about 7:00pm when the supercell was non-tornadic but still cycled through several significant occlusions, one of which was very close to being tornadic (Part 2 of 3).  Lastly, the Campo, Colorado significant tornado, the hallmark moment of this supercell, will be documented in Part 3 along with the post-tornado sunset structure as the storm rolled southeast into the Oklahoma Panhandle northeast of Boise City.

Part 1 of 3. 2:30 to 4:30pm CDT (Pritchett, Colorado tornado)


(times CDT unless otherwise noted.  numbers in brackets refer to the image number in the embedded image album at the end of this post)

I left Dodge City shortly after 11:00am and decided to head toward Springfield, Colorado.  I deliberated for quite awhile… even up until I had to make the turn west of Dodge City… whether to fully commit to the far southeast Colorado target or to head to Lamar first before re-evaluating.  I ultimately decided to take the new South Bypass to get on Hwy 56 and eventually 160 (instead of staying on Hwy 50 to go to Lamar).  Looking at the visible image and seeing the low stratus across southwest Kansas, eastern Oklahoma, and the eastern Texas Panhandle… with clearing to the west — while there was an absence of thin morning stratus farther north — was a clue to stay south (better, deeper moisture).  This was the good kind of morning stratus — the thin stuff the burns off fairly easily by mid-day.  Thin, broken stratus on the western plains is a good sign for late day severe weather when there are southeast surface winds and westerly flow aloft… in late May.

Before I even reached Ulysses, KS, towering cumulus was developing in the target area of far eastern Las Animas County between Kim and Pritchett.  Instead of taking a leisurely stop and eating lunch, I just grabbed some fast-food and continued on my merry way west to Springfield.  I reached Springfield around 1:45pm with a small storm to my west near Pritchett.  The initial storms would develop and dissipate only to reform in the same spot.  After a quick pit stop in Springfield, I continued west on Hwy 160 to Pritchett.  My first stopping point was a couple miles northwest of town on an unpaved county road, where I sat there and watched the genesis of the soon-to-be supercell [1].  I sat there from roughly 2:15 to 2:45pm watching the storm updraft mature to my west a few miles.

Shortly before 3:00pm, I observed the first of two distinct funnel clouds with the initial mesocyclone occlusion looking west from about 4 miles west of Pritchett [2]:

  • “persistent well developed funnel cloud about 1/3 to surface from cloud base.  too far away to tell if it was a tornado or not, but it was in the cyclonic shear side of the RFD occlusion… it just dissipated at 1:55pm mdt… lasted a couple minutes”

After that SpotterNetwork report, I drifted south and observed the next funnel cloud [3], with its condensation funnel reaching a bit closer to the surface than its predecessor:

  • “another funnel cloud at 2:02pm mountain looking west-northwest from my position… 1/2 way to surface possibly a tornado cannot see debris cloud”

A secondary cell was developing immediately south of the original updraft which was producing the funnel clouds..and its rain core was beginning to come over me while on the unpaved road.  I made it a point not to go very far off of Hwy 160 just in case it started raining… also making sure that the unpaved road I was on was a hard-surface, well-graded road…which it was… so I made my way east a couple miles to Hwy 160 where I continued south.  The time between 3:15 and 3:30pm or so was when the storm was really beginning to blossom with that southern cell now merging with the former cell and essentially taking over.

After a brief bout of nickel size hail and rain, I re-emerged into the inflow sector and was greeted to a nice broadly rotating cloud base lowering to my west.  I noticed Roger Hill’s tour group at the corner on 160 south of Pritchett, and I set up shop probably 1/4 of a mile south of him.  I sat there from 3:30 to 3:45pm or so before continuing south.  In that time, I photographed the storm structure [4,5,6] with, at times, well-developed rotating wall cloud to my west northwest.  Inflow at my back facing the wall cloud was sustained 30-40 mph at times from the east-southeast.  I had to stand in front of my tripod just to make sure it wouldn’t fall over in the inflow.

I drove south a couple miles to County Road U where I then continued east about one mile in order to get a better view of the overall structure of the supercell.  The area of rotation to my northwest a few miles was becoming a little more consolidated [7,8,9] with some semi-transparent precipitation falling in the RFD area of the supercell to the southwest of the wall cloud.  At around 3:58pm, a nice laminar funnel developed [10] from the wall cloud which hovered around a third of the way to the ground.  In a matter of a minute or two, this funnel was likely making ground contact, although I could not confirm this for sure, but the motion in the funnel cloud, the well-established tip of the condensation funnel and the overall organization of the clear slot… all were a pretty good clue that this was likely a tornado.  It was also persistent.  [11,12]

  • “looking northwest, fairly stout well developed condensation funnel over 1/2 to the surface from my perspective about 5 S Pritchett”

At 4:03pm, the tip of the condensation funnel reach over halfway to the surface from cloud base [13]…and by 4:04pm, a fairly large triangular-shaped condensation funnel was established.  I photographed both wide-angle (14 to 18mm on the full frame D3) [14,15] to capture the entire structure with the tornado as well as zoomed-in 50 to 70mm on the DX sensor (Nikon D200) to focus on the tornado itself.  Finally, condensation whisps were visible beneath the bowl-shaped condesation funnel at around 4:05pm [16].  At 4:07pm, the tornado was a large bowl-shaped funnel cloud with a small tip condensation funnel with numerous condensation and/or dust whisps looking to the northwest [17].  This then evolved into a more classic truncated cone shape [18,19] with condensation filaments at the tip of the funnel with a small debris cloud beneath at around 4:08pm.  The rear-flank downdraft/occlusion was classic from the southeast vantage point…with a hint of aquamarine color around the occluding tornado cyclone at cloud base [20,21,22].


I called the Pueblo NWS office to give them an update on my observation.  Right as I was making this call, looking off to the west was another very impressive funnel cloud/likely tornado (given the size/laminar shape of the funnel) [25,26].  This was probably 3 or so miles south of the main tornado looking to my northwest.  I believe this was an anticyclonic tornado given its position on the anticyclonic shear side of the rear-flank downdraft.  Shortly after I hung up, I posted another SpotterNetwork report:

  • “two tornadoes.  main tornado looking northwest about a mile or two… and another slender tornado to my west.. photographed both in one frame.  main tornado has been periodically on the ground for a number of minutes… perhaps up to 10… it’s a cigar-shaped funnel now with debris whisps observed at times.”

At 4:10pm, the main tornado to the northwest was a vertical cigar-shaped funnel with continued periodic suction spot spin-ups at ground level [29].  I was easily able to capture both tornadoes in one frame with my 14-24mm lens on the D3 [27,28].  The anticyclonic funnel/tornado lasted until about 4:12pm before it finally dissipated.  Meanwhile, the main tornado was still in progress to my northwest.  The entire storm was moving at a snail’s pace, and I was still sitting at the same location as I was 15 minutes prior watching and photographing this entire event unfold.  By 4:15pm, the entire condensation funnel was beginning to shrink and stretch more.  Briefly, the condensation funnel reached all the way to the surface at 4:15pm [31,32,33].  The tornado finally dissipated about a minute or so after that — for a total of just under 20 minutes for this tornado.  After this tornado dissipated, it was time to reposition.

Part 2 of 3 will document the non-tornadic phase of this incredible supercell storm between 4:30pm and 7:00pm — the moments before the Campo tornado.

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June 7, 2010

2010 June 6 Northeast Colorado chase

Filed under: Chase Accounts,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 8:45 am

Marginal supercell storms, high-based, across northeast Colorado.  Taken with point and shoot camera since I didn’t have my Nikon DSLR gear with me as I was coming home from a bowling trip in Reno.

20100606_173240

20100606_180358

20100606_192900

20100606_194648

June 1, 2010

2010 May 31 Pritchett-Campo, CO Tornadic Supercell [prelim images]

Filed under: Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 1:37 am

South of Pritchett, Colorado:

100531_16090400

South of Campo, Colorado… west of highway 287:

100531_19121668

Large, tall tornado approaching highway 287.  Looking north:

100531_19160141

Zoomed-in image showing vehicles adjacent to an RFD surge around the south side of the tornado as it is crossing highway 287 south of Campo:

100531_19164080

Tornado now east of highway 287 with rainbow:

100531_19325692

Awesome colors and storm structure between Boise City and Guymon, OK:

100531_20374708

May 31, 2010

Chase Forecast 2010 May 31

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 10:24 am

West to east flow aloft and southerly flow in the low levels… directional shear is very good for storm organization/supercells as far south as southeast Colorado… with mode more than likely on HP side of things. Mid level flow is better farther north into northeastern Colorado and adjacent southwest Nebraska/northwest Kansas. I think there is going to be adequate moisture across all of eastern Colorado into far southwest Nebraska for decent storms. Given the not-so-hot 700mb temps, 8-10C and adequate insolation farther north, I think storms will form… with perhaps the Palmer Divide initiating stuff. Other storms may also form in a weak convergent area farther northeast from Wray/Yuma to Imperial, NE. I think there will be a larger area of possible severe storms than what the SPC guidance suggests. That being said, I will target farther south closer to home where better low level convergence and moisture signal is in the model fields… initiation of storms far eastern Las Animas County or western Baca County. I think I’ll head to Lamar and re-evaluate from there… as I don’t want to totally rule out chasing a Palmer Divide initiated storm… which would probably roll east along I-70 corridor during the 23z to 02z time frame. I’m about 75%/25% in favor of farther south (Baca County) target vs. Palmer Divide (Limon, Genoa, Arriba, etc. along I-70) at this point

May 25, 2010

May 22, 2010 South Dakota Tornado-fest [post 1]

Filed under: 2010 May 22,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 9:21 am

Preliminary Images:

May 21, 2010

Chase Day Forecast May 21 (SE Wyoming/Nebraska Panhandle)

Filed under: Chase Forecasts/Outlooks,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 10:25 am

Day 1 of 3 of weekend mini chase trip

I am in Ogallala, NE this morning.  My target all along was southeast Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, and this still appears to be on track.  There are lower 50s dewpoints awaiting upstream of the Laramie Range, and the best low level flow by early this evening will be funneled up into the southeast Wyoming/Nebraska Panhandle area.  1500 J/kg CAPE is expected by early this evening.  I will head in the general direction of Torrington, WY by mid-afternoon and re-evaluate from there.

Day 2 (May 22):  Still looks good for southern South Dakota area into far northern Nebraska.  Not sure where I will stay tonight, as it depends on which portion of the Nebraska Panhandle I’ll end up in.

Day 3 (May 23):  I will be making my way back south closer to Dodge City since I have to work Monday morning.  There could be a potential play for supercell storms in Northwest Kansas as a weak front slips south into this area with still good upper level southwest flow and pretty high CAPE.

May 17, 2010

Chase Summary: May 10, 2010 (West-central Kansas)

Filed under: Chase Accounts,Latest Chases,Storm Chasing — Mike U @ 11:46 pm

Fast-moving HP Supercell at Shallow Water, Kansas


May 10th was the much advertised and much hyped (for good reason) tornado outbreak across the plains from southern Kansas into Oklahoma.  Since I was still on my 10pm to 6am shifts, I was on a tight leash, so I couldn’t venture far from Dodge City if I wanted to chase.  There was a target close to home with storms most likely developing by midday or shortly thereafter given the degree of forcing coming out with the compact upper low moving into southwest Kansas.  By late morning, there was an axis of instability developing across far west central and southwest kansas as the stratus was slowly eroding away at the western edge.  It was this corridor of instability where I focused my efforts on.  After about three hours of sleep, I woke up to find things on target for the most part.  My chase target was northwest of Garden City for the incipient storm development… and points northeast from there as the afternoon grew on.

I left Dodge City at 11am and headed north to Ness City then west toward Dighton.  By 12:30pm, convection was forming in the drier air between Lamar and Syracuse which was moving northeast toward the Hwy 50 corridor and the Syracuse area.  Radar was showing an east to west boundary developing and there appeared to be a convergence of fine lines on radar near the Garden City area.  I decided to drive south into northern Finney County and watch things unfold to my southwest.  As I got into clearing skies, the convective towers were obviously quite evident… including one to my distant south-southeast.  The cluster of disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the west-southwest were about to enter the higher moisture content around 1:00pm, but it was also cooler, which was a problem.  There just didn’t appear to be a whole lot of clearing farther to the east to widen the axis of instability for potential tornadogenesis.  By 1:30, storms finally increased in intensity west of Lakin, and this activity was moving northeast which would approach Hwy 83 between Garden City and Scott City, so I made my way west to Hwy 83.

When I reached Hwy 83, I was greeted to a massive updraft area to my southwest.  Tornado warnings were issued for storms farther north in the Leoti area.  It turned out that there was a small cluster of non-supercell, landspout tornadoes.  Oh well.  I drove north on Hwy 83 to Shallow Water when the storm to my southwest was wrapping up significantly.  This was turning into an HP beast, and I found myself in the notch of this thing.  I got out of the car to take a few images, but I couldn’t do that long, as this storm was racing northeast at 50 mph.

As I drove north through Shallow Water, the structure to my southwest was fairly impressive with a nice circular, striated updraft area with a low-contrast lowering wrapping in rain to my west-southwest.  Meanwhile, the wet RFD was racing north toward me fast.  I made it to Hwy 96, but about 4 to 6 miles east of Scott City, I was being buffetted by 60 mph south winds in the RFD.  This was really the beginning of the end of the excitement of this particular chase.  The storm quickly became an outflow dominant mess as I was continuing east toward Dighton.  I had some thoughts of just heading on home, but renewed updraft development on the old rear-flank gust front, which was now the leading edge of the synoptic dry intrusion, kept me just interested enough to continue following it.  I followed it to Utica and eventually Ransom in northern Ness County along Hwy 4. There was a new mesocyclone to my southwest…

…and shortly after 3:00pm or so, there was a report of a tornado with this circulation, however I never saw this.  Later on, I did see some photos of this feature, which was indeed a small, brief tornado.  Unless you were in the right spot, you would not have seen this (and I was not in the right spot plus I was driving while this was occurring apparently).  Storms moving 40 to 50 mph just do not give you the necessary amount of time to figure out what’s going on, especially when chasing solo.  Plus the fact, the cloud bases were so low because the storm was moving into the area of low stratus that had stuck around all day up until that point.  Not great conditions to photograph in.  The best photography would actually be behind the storms looking at them from the southwest in the drier air.  I entered Rush County and photographed some of the interesting convective underbelly of the storm in between the updraft area and the precipitation core.  This was somewhat photogenic, especially with a green wheat field in front of me.  This was around the 4:00pm time frame near McCracken.

I followed the storm as far east as the Hoisington-Russel longitude before giving up and heading back to Dodge City.  I didn’t see any tornado on this outbreak day, but it was an interesting chase nonetheless.

11 images from this day’s shoot:

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May 3, 2010

Chase Trip Day Nine (May 2) Summary [13 images]

High-based storm & lightning near Grainfield, Kansas


(rest of images at the bottom of this post)

I was not expecting much on this day given dewpoint temperatures in the mid to upper 30s across much of western and central Kansas, however there were going to be storms based simply on the notion that temperatures in the mid levels…500 to 700mb… were still very cold.  500mb temperatures were going to be around -22 to -23C.  The problem was that there wasn’t much of a focus for initiation to zero in and target on for chasing.  Where was the best storm to photograph going to end up being?  The environment looked equal just about everywhere from southwest Kansas into south-central Nebraska.  I decided to use the RUC model as my guide as it was showing a corridor of southeast winds with a little bit better moisture… say mid 40s dewpoints… advecting back into west-central Kansas around Ness City perhaps.  As it turned out, these winds never really materialized, and winds were quite light everywhere.  The first storms developed farther north… north of Hill City, and this is where I was led.  I made it to Hill City and eventually Norton, going after some briefly strong storms just into Nebraska near Alma.  By the time I reached North I drove east to get into better position of these, but as I was doing this, those storms eventually waned with a bunch of other scattered weak convection developing to my southeast, south and southwest.  Where to now?  There was no need to be this far northeast when I could be a bit closer to home to photograph essentially the same convection.  So I headed back southwest.  I followed Hwy 9 west-southwest to Hwy 23 north of Hoxie as this areas was convecting better than any other, so I thought what the heck, I’ll just get closer to this stuff.  I went south to Hoxie and eventually Grainfield when the “storm of the day” for me came into view to my southwest.

I wanted to get into a decent position for this cell, so I drove south on an unpaved county road southwest of Grainfield.  I stumbled upon my shooting location of choice.  A farm field with old corn stalks and an old barn making for a fantastic foreground subject.  I used this old barn to my advantage — it certainly made the shoot!  I set the D200 up with the lightning trigger and let ‘er go to work while I roamed around with the D3 to get some compositions of this old barn and the storm.  I managed to get a few cloud-to-ground images from this storm with the barn off to the right.  I think these compositions with the storm, lightning, and old barn work best as 2:1 crops in post-processing, which is what you’ll see in the album of images from this shoot.  One of the frames even has me in the shot, which actually kinda works in a way for perspective!  I felt pretty satisified with this and decided not to get greedy and begin my way back home.  I went south on Hwy 23 to Gove only to find that it was closed south of Gove.  I was forced to turn around and head back to I-70, but the next storm that developed in the cluster was producing some decent lightning frequency, so I gave it one more attempt to photograph just northeast of Grainfield this time along Hwy 23.  I was at this location for probably 15 or 20 minutes before the lightning activity waned.  At that time I decided to finally head on back to Dodge.  This was exactly the kind of shoot I was hoping for, but honestly wasn’t expecting.  I think one or two of the images from this day are Portfolio-worthy.

Begin:  Dodge City, KS (home)
End: Dodge City, KS (home)
Day Nine Mileage: 431 mi.
Trip Mileage: 4085 mi.

13 images from this day’s shoot:

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